Storm Update 2.

Powerful Nor-Easter traveling up the east coast. This storm will effect the coastal areas from Florida to Maine.  Parts of Northern Florida and parts of Georgia is experiencing an major ice storm with ice of up to  half of an inch. That is a major ice storm even for New England standards. (PS can not wait to see the pictures). There are winter storm headlines up and down the entire east coast by the National Weather Service. (NOAA) Mid-atlantic states, some eastern locations could have blizzard conditions.

Now to our area.

When. Late tonight through Thursday Night.

The Nor-Easter will be strengthening as it heads up the east coast and will likely be around 960MBs, powerful storm but not unheard of. Models show lower MBs and higher MBs.

Snowfall

Snowfall forecast is not of high confidence specially. ( this will likely be updated a few times today/evening but only if I see it being warranted)

Expect the lower end of your snowfall range unless you are in the banding locations, which will be better handled later this afternoon/evening. Snowfall rates of 1+ is anticipated.

Snow. of 5-10 inches. RI. Portions of interior southeast Mass, Eastern Mass, Southeast NH and areas of Maine along and east of I95.  Locally higher amounts are possible, especially in eastern Maine.

Blizzard Conditions

 

Dark red Blizzard criteria could be met. Pink line, Blizzard conditions likely east of Line. Orange, chance of Blizzard conditions along and east of line.

Blizzard conditions are likely in Eastern New England with the best chance of blizzard conditions being met east of the red lines. Coastal southeast Mass, Coastal Northeast Mass, southeast NH and Coastal areas of Maine.

Wind will be of high concern with this storm but again not unheard of for around here. Winds of 25-40 MPH across Eastern New England with gusts up to 70. Highest of course will be around the coastal areas.

Blizzard conditions are likely along and east of I95 with the best chance of the Blizzard criteria being met. That is three hours of whiteout conditions, Sustained wind or continuous gusts of 35mph+ Being North shore, southern NH and Coastal areas of Maine. Areas of southeast mass cape and Islands could be dealing with a snow/rain line. The chance for Blizzard criteria being met on the southeast coast could go out the window,

Road conditions Warnings/watches/advisories

Map on left.

Road conditions, Level 5 road conditions are anticipated for coastal maine, coastal NH, Coastal Northeast Mass to Boston to south shore.  Level 4 to level 5 road conditions in the orange with visibility of less less than 1/4 quarter at times with falling and blowing snow. With 1-3 inch snowfall rates.  Cape cod and the islands road conditions will be poor all day but during the late afternoon/evening will likely change back to snow causing for near blizzard conditions which is why they are in this range. Another factor going into this is wind. High profile vehicles should stay off the road. .

Map on the right. Warnings/ watches and advisories. concerns.

Blizzard warning for coastal New England. Areas east of red line.  Best chance for Blizzard criteria Coastal maine to coastal Northeast Mass. With the south shore and cape also having a good chance at seeing all criteria met particularly in the afternoon/evening once the change over back to snow occurs.

Blizzard watch: which is based on the Blizzard watch that Noaa use to use is east of the yellow line. This means there is a chance for all blizzard criteria to be met.  chance/ likely hood of blizzard conditions.

Winter weather warning in red. with Winter weather advisory in  grey.

high wind warning for cape cod and the islands.

Coastal residence should be prepared for major coastal erosion and coastal flooding with this storm. Please prepare now. Main threat is tomorrow afternoons high tide. Areas of most concern is Coastal Maine, Northeast mass and outer cape cod.

Please continue to monitor future forecast. Update will come this evening, when new data comes in and we get in range of more mesoscale weather models.  This storm could come in further west or further east, but will have a better handle of it this evening. This storm will be moving rather quickly so the worst of it for southern New England will be 8/9am to 5/6 pm. With the storm moving north/Northeast winds will continue to howl and advisory level winds will continue for Friday. Temps will plummet and be even colder than the last arctic blast.

 

 

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